Our Freshwater 2026 Tō Tātou Wai Māori
Our Freshwater 2026 examines the most pressing issues in our groundwater, lakes and rivers, with a focus on the role of groundwater in our freshwater environments.
The report is produced jointly by the Ministry for the Environment and Stats NZ.
Our Freshwater 2026 examines the most pressing issues in our groundwater, lakes and rivers, with a focus on the role of groundwater in our freshwater environments.
The report is produced jointly by the Ministry for the Environment and Stats NZ.
Our Freshwater 2026 examines the most pressing issues in our groundwater, lakes and rivers, with a focus on the role of groundwater in our freshwater environments.
Tēnā koutou katoa
Freshwater is essential to life in Aotearoa New Zealand. It supports our health and wellbeing, enables food and energy production, sustains ecosystems and underpins almost every part of our economy. When freshwater is degraded or becomes less reliable, the costs are felt by households, communities, businesses and infrastructure.
Our Freshwater 2026 shows how this interconnected system is changing. Pressures from land use, contamination, water abstraction and climate change are altering the quality and movement of water across rivers, lakes, wetlands and aquifers. These changes affect drinking water security, ecosystem health, recreation, cultural practices and economic activity in many regions.
A central focus of this report is groundwater. Although mostly unseen and slow to change, it sustains river flows, supplies drinking water to many New Zealanders and reflects the legacy of past land use. Because groundwater responds over years or decades, the consequences of today’s actions endure long into the future.
Environmental reporting exists to help New Zealand understand these changes and their implications. Produced independently under the Environmental Reporting Act 2015, this report brings together the best available indicators, scientific evidence and mātauranga Māori (Māori knowledge) to provide a trusted national picture. It does not evaluate policy or recommend solutions. Instead, it provides the foundation of evidence needed for informed decisions by communities, iwi and Māori, local and central government, businesses and households.
The challenges facing freshwater are complex and long term. Meeting them will require shared understanding, sustained attention and collaborative effort. We hope this report supports that work and contributes to protecting and restoring freshwater for the benefit of people, nature and future generations.
| Sam Buckle Secretary for the Environment (Acting) |
Colin Lynch Government Statistician |
Freshwater supports every aspect of life. It underpins our health and wellbeing, our cultural identity and recreation, and our communities, economy and livelihoods. The water that moves through our landscapes is part of one interconnected system: falling as rain or snow, travelling through soils and groundwater, flowing through streams, rivers, lakes and wetlands, and eventually reaching estuaries and the sea. Changes in any part of this system affect the others.
Te ao Māori (Māori worldview) perspectives reinforce this understanding of connectedness. Some Māori describe freshwater through whakapapa (ancestral ties) and pūrākau (ancient narratives) that emphasise the relationships between different forms of water and the environments they move through. In these accounts, Wainui ātea is identified as the personification of clear, mighty waters, associated with the origins of water bodies (Whaanga & Roa, 2021). Narratives involving Ranginui (Sky Father) and Papatūānuku (Earth Mother) describe the movement of water between sky, land and waterways (Reed & Calman, 2021; Salmond et al., 2019). These perspectives highlight the long‑recognised knowledge that water is connected ki uta ki tai (from the mountains to the sea), which can work together with scientific evidence of hydrological and ecological connectivity to enhance our overall understanding.
The Environmental Reporting Act 2015 (the Act) requires an assessment of the state of this whole freshwater system and how human activities influence it. Integrating te ao Māori perspectives supports a fuller and more place‑based understanding of how pressures accumulate and interact across connected environments over time (PCE, 2022).
We tend to think of freshwater as only the water we can see, in rivers, lakes and wetlands. But surface water and groundwater are interconnected in complex ways. Groundwater is a unifying theme in this report. Groundwater is the freshwater found beneath the Earth’s surface, stored in soil pores, rock fractures and aquifers. It is replenished primarily by rainfall and snowmelt and moves slowly through underground pathways, feeding rivers, lakes and wetlands, and sustaining flows during dry periods.
Human activities and land use affect how much freshwater is available and how it moves through the environment. Water use for agriculture, towns and cities, and electricity generation influences groundwater levels and the flow of rivers and lakes. Climate change is also reshaping freshwater systems by altering rainfall patterns, flow rates and sea levels. Natural processes such as erosion and sedimentation can increase with changes in climate and land use.
In te ao Māori, freshwater is understood as having mauri (life force), which refers to its essential quality and integrity (Durie, 1998; Mead, 2003; Morgan, 2006). Mauri is used in environmental practice to describe the condition and resilience of ecosystems, including freshwater (Morgan, 2006) (see Environment Aotearoa 2022). Considering mauri alongside scientific assessments provides an additional way to understand the state of freshwater and how pressures affect both ecosystems and people.
Activities on land can have cumulative and long‑lasting effects on groundwater and surface water. Water can take days to decades to move through groundwater systems before emerging in springs, rivers or wetlands. As a result, the impacts of human activities may persist long after pressures are first introduced, influencing the state and mauri of freshwater systems for many years.
Our Freshwater 2026 is the latest in a series of environmental reports produced by the Ministry for the Environment and Stats NZ. It is the fourth report in the series dedicated to the freshwater environment, following reports in 2017, 2020 and 2023.
This report first looks at freshwater levels, flows and connections, and how changes to land and what is in the water reverberate across the whole system. It then looks at how these changes affect water quality, and the impacts of this on ecosystems and people.
The Act requires us to report on environmental pressures, state and impacts, as well as on specific topics set out in the Act. We do this through a set of environmental indicators. Where indicators are not available or do not fully describe an issue, we use a broader body of evidence to ensure the report provides a comprehensive and authoritative picture of the state of Aotearoa New Zealand’s freshwater.
The indicator data in this report draws on many sources, including public research organisations and central and local government. The body of evidence brings together peer‑reviewed scientific literature, government reports and other grey literature, mātauranga Māori (Māori knowledge), and observational information on ecosystem changes. All data and evidence used in this report were corroborated and checked for consistency with their original sources, and a panel of independent scientists reviewed the report. This approach means the report remains robust and trustworthy, even where indicators are still developing. Indicator definitions and update dates are available on the Stats NZ indicators web pages.
Evaluating specific policies and providing advice on responses is out of scope for reports prepared under the Act. Reports under this Act are produced independently of ministers.
Of the 15 indicators included in this report, 10 are freshwater indicators that have been updated since Our freshwater 2023 (see Stats NZ environment indicators). These updates strengthen the underlying data and provide a clearer picture of how freshwater systems are changing across New Zealand. Two key methodological improvements support this:
Recent updates from Stats NZ show a mix of improving and worsening trends in the water quality measured in rivers, lakes and groundwater.
Modelled indicators of river and lake ecosystem health recently updated by Stats NZ estimate conditions for freshwater health for all rivers, and all lakes larger than 1 hectare, to help understand these conditions where they are not directly measured.
Recent updates to Stats NZ indicators for Escherichia coli (E. coli) and nitrate-nitrogen show that many rivers and groundwaters are affected by pathogens or nitrate levels that could pose risks to human health.
Together, the updated indicators show that while some aspects of freshwater quality and ecosystem health are good and improving, others are deteriorating. This reinforces the need to view freshwater as an interconnected system where multiple pressures accumulate and interact over time.
Research published since Our freshwater 2023 continues to deepen our understanding of how freshwater systems are changing. Several consistent themes are emerging across the literature.
Climate change is reshaping freshwater processes. Studies show increasing influence on rainfall patterns, river flows and water temperatures, as well as salinity in coastal areas. This research highlights the growing role of climate change in amplifying existing pressures and shaping future freshwater conditions.
Groundwater processes are becoming more visible. New research has strengthened our understanding of how groundwater interacts with land use, surface water and ecosystems. Studies show that groundwater age, flows and lag times mean that past activities can influence water quality and flows for many years.
The role of extreme events is clearer. There is increasing evidence that storms and floods are major drivers of contaminant transport. Many contaminants, including nutrients and pathogens, and contaminants stored in sediment, peak during high‑flow events that can be missed by routine monitoring.
Emerging contaminants remain a growing concern. Research on pesticides, pharmaceuticals, per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and microplastics continues to expand. While concentrations can be low, many of these substances are persistent, mobile or poorly understood, leading to uncertainty about long‑term ecological and human health impacts.
Freshwater ecosystems are under increasing pressure. Studies document how nutrient enrichment, invasive species, altered flows and warming water temperatures are affecting species distributions, ecological function and habitat quality. Climate‑driven changes compound these stresses.
Coastal and groundwater interactions are changing. Research shows that sea‑level rise is pushing saltwater further inland in some locations, affecting coastal aquifers, wetlands and estuarine habitats.
Together, these developments provide a fuller picture of how freshwater is responding to long‑term pressures, and they help explain patterns seen in indicator data, particularly where cumulative and delayed effects are involved.
Our freshwater.
Water moves through the landscape as a system, so changes in one place affect other areas connected by the flow of water.
Freshwater flows above ground in rivers, lakes and wetlands, and below ground as groundwater – our hidden resource.
Freshwater is stored in glaciers, snow and lakes, and rainfall and snowmelt sustain rivers and replenish groundwater.
Terrain, soil, vegetation and land use shape how water flows above ground. Healthy rivers, lakes and wetlands sustain biodiversity and support our economy, health and wellbeing.
Groundwater is freshwater stored underground. Water drains from the surface through the soil, filling spaces in soil and rock, and collecting in aquifers.
As groundwater moves slowly through underground pathways, it helps maintain river flows, but this slow pace also delays the movement of contaminants for many years.
Groundwater feeds rivers, lakes and wetlands, maintaining base flow.
Surface water is lost to the ground, reducing base flow.
Healthy groundwater keeps river flows steady and provides reliable water for communities, especially during dry periods.
We get our drinking water from surface water and groundwater. Because these sources constantly exchange, groundwater plays a vital but mostly hidden role in our drinking water.
Our freshwater.
Water moves through the landscape as a system, so changes in one place affect other areas connected by the flow of water.
Freshwater flows above ground in rivers, lakes and wetlands, and below ground as groundwater – our hidden resource.
Freshwater is stored in glaciers, snow and lakes, and rainfall and snowmelt sustain rivers and replenish groundwater.
Terrain, soil, vegetation and land use shape how water flows above ground. Healthy rivers, lakes and wetlands sustain biodiversity and support our economy, health and wellbeing.
Groundwater is freshwater stored underground. Water drains from the surface through the soil, filling spaces in soil and rock, and collecting in aquifers.
As groundwater moves slowly through underground pathways, it helps maintain river flows, but this slow pace also delays the movement of contaminants for many years.
Groundwater feeds rivers, lakes and wetlands, maintaining base flow.
Surface water is lost to the ground, reducing base flow.
Healthy groundwater keeps river flows steady and provides reliable water for communities, especially during dry periods.
We get our drinking water from surface water and groundwater. Because these sources constantly exchange, groundwater plays a vital but mostly hidden role in our drinking water.
The water that moves through our landscape is part of one large, interconnected system. From its source as rain or snowfall, freshwater flows across and into the ground, into streams and rivers, and into lakes and wetlands, until it reaches the sea. Changes to one part of this system will affect the others as the water flows between them (Salmond et al., 2019).
The journey of water can be rapid, or it can take years or even decades to move through the system. Pressures on the landscape from human activities can affect freshwater sources and flows for long periods of time.
Human activities are affecting how much freshwater is available and how it moves through the environment. Water use for agriculture, towns and cities, and electricity generation influences the levels and flow of groundwater and surface water. Sedimentation and erosion can increase with changes in land use. Climate change is also reshaping the freshwater system through changing rainfall patterns and flow rates.
The connections between different parts of the freshwater system mean that pressures in one part can affect the others. Changes to water stores such as glaciers and groundwater can alter the amount of water flowing down our streams and rivers. These upstream changes affect the mauri (life force) and flow of downstream environments.
Human activities – including land-use intensification, irrigation, water takes and river engineering – are changing levels and flows in groundwater and surface waters. Water extraction for agricultural and urban use reduces the amount of water in rivers, lakes and groundwater. More intensive use of agricultural land often requires increased irrigation, with most of this water taken from rivers and lakes. Hydroelectric generation, dams, diversions and stopbanks change the natural flow of rivers, which has impacts on freshwater ecosystems.
Image: Data source: Stats NZ
A grouped bar chart that shows the total irrigated land area in thousands of hectares for 2002, 2017 and 2022. The bars are coloured to show years, and grouped according to dominant farm type, including ‘dairy, sheep, beef and other livestock’; ‘fruit, grain and vegetable’; and ‘other’. The scale ranges from 0 to 400,000 hectares. More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Irrigated land: Data to 2022.
Image: Data source: Stats NZ
A grouped bar chart that shows the total irrigated land area in thousands of hectares for 2002, 2017 and 2022. The bars are coloured to show years, and grouped according to dominant farm type, including ‘dairy, sheep, beef and other livestock’; ‘fruit, grain and vegetable’; and ‘other’. The scale ranges from 0 to 400,000 hectares. More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Irrigated land: Data to 2022.
The way water moves through a catchment is shaped by the physical features of the landscape, such as slope, geology, soils and rainfall patterns. These characteristics determine how fast water runs off, how much water is absorbed into the ground and how easily sediment is mobilised. Human activities such as farming, forestry, and urban development interact with these natural features and can accelerate or reduce the movement of water and sediment.
The climate strongly influences the freshwater system. Global weather patterns drive how much rain we get, and when and where it falls. Climate change is altering the sources and the flows of freshwater, both above and below ground. The resulting changes to the freshwater system will have wide-ranging impacts. More extreme rainfall and flooding, along with higher temperatures and drier conditions, will alter flow rates and freshwater environments. Sealevel rise can result in saltwater pushing into coastal aquifers.
Image: Data source: Stats NZ, using data from regional councils, unitary authorities and Earth Sciences New Zealand
A map of New Zealand showing the average rate of change in chloride concentrations in groundwater across three different aquifer types, from 2004 to 2024. The aquifer types include basement infill, coastal, and inland. Points on the map are coloured according to a scale representing the change in chloride concentrations in milligrams per litre per year. The scale ranges from -24.3600 mg/L per year (blue) to 42.2210 mg/L per year (red). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Groundwater quality: Data to 2024.
Image: Data source: Stats NZ, using data from regional councils, unitary authorities and Earth Sciences New Zealand
A map of New Zealand showing the average rate of change in chloride concentrations in groundwater across three different aquifer types, from 2004 to 2024. The aquifer types include basement infill, coastal, and inland. Points on the map are coloured according to a scale representing the change in chloride concentrations in milligrams per litre per year. The scale ranges from -24.3600 mg/L per year (blue) to 42.2210 mg/L per year (red). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Groundwater quality: Data to 2024.
The interconnected nature of the freshwater system means that impacts on water quality in one domain can be felt in others. The slow-moving nature of groundwater also results in effects that can be seen for long time periods.
As freshwater flows ki uta ki tai (from the mountains to the sea), passing through rivers and wetlands, its mauri (life force) is carried along this journey, reflecting the health of the catchment. Disturbance to mauri at any point – through pollution, degradation or overuse – can affect the wider catchment system and overall health of the water.
The major impacts on freshwater quality come from run-off and leaching (draining) of nutrients and contaminants, and from sediment. Excess nutrients originate mainly from agricultural land use, and contaminants and waste come from both urban and rural areas. These wash from the land into our waterways, sometimes attached to sediment, and can accumulate in groundwater. The impacts of some of these processes may be intensified by climate change.
Nitrogen and phosphorus are naturally occurring nutrients, but excess amounts from fertiliser use and livestock can wash into waterways and degrade water quality. Long‑term trends show that phosphorus levels in rivers and lakes are improving in more places than they are worsening, while nitrogen trends are more mixed, with similar numbers of sites improving and worsening. One form of nitrogen, nitrate, can leach into groundwater and persist for many years, continuing to affect connected surface waters. Elevated nutrient levels can transform freshwater ecosystems, degrading habitats and directly and indirectly harming species (see section 3 for detail on how excess nutrients affect ecosystems). Excess nutrients can also pose risks to human health (see section 4 for detail on how nitrate affects drinking water quality).
Image: Data source: Stats NZ, using data from regional councils, unitary authorities and Earth Sciences New Zealand
A map of New Zealand showing the average rate of change in nitrate concentrations in groundwater across three different aquifer types, from 2004 to 2024. The aquifer types include basement infill, coastal, and inland. Points on the map are coloured according to a scale representing the change in nitrate concentrations in milligrams per litre per year. The scale ranges from -0.6410 mg/L per year (blue) to 0.9410 mg/L per year (red). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Groundwater quality: Data to 2024.
Image: Data source: Stats NZ, using data from regional councils, unitary authorities and Earth Sciences New Zealand
A map of New Zealand showing the average rate of change in nitrate concentrations in groundwater across three different aquifer types, from 2004 to 2024. The aquifer types include basement infill, coastal, and inland. Points on the map are coloured according to a scale representing the change in nitrate concentrations in milligrams per litre per year. The scale ranges from -0.6410 mg/L per year (blue) to 0.9410 mg/L per year (red). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Groundwater quality: Data to 2024.
Contaminants and waste from human activities in both urban and rural areas flow from the land into rivers, lakes and groundwater. These can include harmful chemicals (including pharmaceuticals), heavy metals, litter and microplastics (very small plastic particles). Water treatment does not always remove all contaminants effectively from wastewater, and this is often a pathway for contaminants to enter freshwater.
When soil or rock washes off the land, it enters waterways as sediment. Although sedimentation is a natural process, it can be increased by human activities and land uses. Excess sediment affects freshwater environments, and it also carries nutrients and contaminants into waterways, which can degrade water quality.
Freshwater gives life to the land. Changes in water sources, flows and quality affect the species, habitats and ecosystems that depend on the freshwater system (including humans, as discussed in section 4). Because water moves through rivers, lakes, wetlands and groundwater as one connected network, changes in one part of the system can have far-reaching ecological effects elsewhere.
Groundwater is an important part of this freshwater system. Its condition influences the health of connected rivers, lakes and wetlands, and it also supports unique ecosystems of its own. Most ecological data, however, relate to surface water ecosystems, as they are more accessible for monitoring.
To help us understand this system-wide view, many cultural monitoring frameworks use mātauranga Māori (Māori knowledge) of certain tohu (environmental indicators), such as mauri (life force) or the health of tuna (eels), as an indicator for wider ecosystem health. Through Māori monitoring frameworks, we can see how changes to one aspect of a catchment can have flow-on effects on the wider ecosystem (Hopkins, 2018).
River and lake ecosystems can be transformed by excess nutrients and invasions of pest species. The habitats that native species depend on are also altered by erosion, sediment and land-use change. On top of this, a changing climate is bringing further changes to flow rates and water temperature, and sea-level rise is pushing saltwater further inland. Indigenous species and the unique habitats they depend on for survival are under threat from these changes.
Human impacts can disrupt the life cycles of species that live in and around freshwater, as well as disrupting the interactions between them. Nutrients such as nitrogen and phosphorus that wash into waterways can degrade water quality, affecting ecosystems in many of our lakes, rivers, wetlands and estuaries. Introduced species also affect freshwater ecosystems, leading to declines in some native species.
A map of New Zealand showing modelled macroinvertebrate community index (MCI) scores for rivers, in 2020-2024. The map is coloured according to the amount of nutrient enrichment and organic pollution indicated by the MCI scores. The scale ranges from Almost none (blue) to Severe (yellow). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page River water quality – macroinvertebrate community index: Data to 2024.
A map of New Zealand showing modelled macroinvertebrate community index (MCI) scores for rivers, in 2020-2024. The map is coloured according to the amount of nutrient enrichment and organic pollution indicated by the MCI scores. The scale ranges from Almost none (blue) to Severe (yellow). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page River water quality – macroinvertebrate community index: Data to 2024.
Native freshwater species depend on specific habitats to survive and flourish. Human modification of the landscape has increased the amount of sediment washing into our waterways (see section 2). Climate change is projected to increase the amount of overall sedimentation (see section 1). In most of our rivers, sediment poses a low or moderate risk to freshwater life, and river habitat condition remains good, though many areas, including wetlands, are under pressure.
1 Eveleens et al. (2025) updates the information in the current version of the Stats NZ Freshwater physical habitat indicator, published in April 2020. The data from Eveleens et al. will be incorporated into the next indicator update, but the statistics published in the updated web page may differ due to methodological (or other) differences.
Image: Data source: Cawthron Institute, via regional councils and unitary authorities
A map of New Zealand showing measured river habitat quality scores for sites across the country. Sites are represented by points coloured according to quality scores. The scale ranges from Excellent (purple) to Poor (yellow), also displaying sites that had Insufficient data to assess quality (brown).
Image: Data source: Cawthron Institute, via regional councils and unitary authorities
A map of New Zealand showing measured river habitat quality scores for sites across the country. Sites are represented by points coloured according to quality scores. The scale ranges from Excellent (purple) to Poor (yellow), also displaying sites that had Insufficient data to assess quality (brown).
Image: Data source: Stats NZ, using data from Bioeconomy Science Institute
A map of New Zealand showing the change in wetland area for areas across the country, between 1996 and 2023. 4,320-hectare areas are represented by hexagons coloured to show the amount of wetland area lost. The scale ranges from 0-1 hectares lost (yellow) to greater than 100 hectares lost (dark orange). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Wetland area: Data to 2023.
Image: Data source: Stats NZ, using data from Bioeconomy Science Institute
A map of New Zealand showing the change in wetland area for areas across the country, between 1996 and 2023. 4,320-hectare areas are represented by hexagons coloured to show the amount of wetland area lost. The scale ranges from 0-1 hectares lost (yellow) to greater than 100 hectares lost (dark orange). More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page Wetland area: Data to 2023.
Freshwater ecosystems are home to many unique native plants and animals. Many of these species are classified as threatened with extinction or at risk of becoming threatened. Groundwater supports thriving ecosystems, with unique species living in our aquifers. The health of these ecosystems underpins the functioning of lake and river environments, where many species of fish, birds, invertebrates and plants are under threat.
The impacts of climate change on the freshwater system will make things more difficult for many of our indigenous species. Changes to water flows, along with higher temperatures, may cause native species to lose more of their habitats. Sea-level rise will push saltwater further inland, reducing freshwater habitats and reshaping tidal zones.
Our health, wellbeing and livelihoods are closely tied to the health of our freshwater. People and communities rely on freshwater for drinking, household supply, recreation and cultural practice. Water quality directly affects whether freshwater can be safely used for these purposes.
In te ao Māori (the Māori worldview), water with healthy mauri (life force) – such as wai ora (life-giving water) and wai māori (freshwater) – supports life, connection and identity. When mauri is degraded to states such as wai kino (polluted water) or wai mate (dead water), many activities that sustain cultural practice, intergenerational knowledge and community are disrupted.
Freshwater also underpins much of Aotearoa New Zealand’s economy. Agriculture, energy generation, tourism and many local industries depend on reliable flows and good water quality. When freshwater systems change, these sectors can face reduced productivity, increased costs or interruptions to essential services.
Nearly half the New Zealand population relies on groundwater for drinking. This creates health risks when groundwater becomes contaminated by nitrate, chemicals or pathogens. Public supplies are treated and typically show low contaminant concentrations, but private selfsupplies, shallow bores and small schemes face higher risk where protection and treatment are limited. More frequent extreme weather events and rising temperatures from climate change are expected to increase contamination risks.
Clean, safe water underpins recreation and community wellbeing. Pathogens and toxic algae can cause illness through recreational contact and eating contaminated food. Unsafe contamination levels and degraded ecosystems mean swimming sites close and food gathering is constrained, with health, amenity and cultural consequences.
A map of New Zealand showing modelled river suitability for swimming based on E. coli National Objective Framework (NOF) bands indicating average Campylobacter infection risk for rivers, in 2020-2024. The map is coloured according to the predicted average Campylobacter infection risk. The scale ranges from less than or equal to 1 percent (purple) to greater than 7 percent (yellow). Predicted risks less than or equal to 3 percent are indicated as suitable, and above 3 percent are indicated as not suitable. More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page River water quality – E. coli: Data to 2024, and National Policy Statement for Freshwater Management 2020 Amended December 2025.
A map of New Zealand showing modelled river suitability for swimming based on E. coli National Objective Framework (NOF) bands indicating average Campylobacter infection risk for rivers, in 2020-2024. The map is coloured according to the predicted average Campylobacter infection risk. The scale ranges from less than or equal to 1 percent (purple) to greater than 7 percent (yellow). Predicted risks less than or equal to 3 percent are indicated as suitable, and above 3 percent are indicated as not suitable. More information is available from the Stats NZ indicator page River water quality – E. coli: Data to 2024, and National Policy Statement for Freshwater Management 2020 Amended December 2025.
Degraded ecosystems and the threatened loss of native species impact wellbeing and the intrinsic connection many Māori have with te taiao (the environment) and associated mātauranga Māori (Māori knowledge). When freshwater environments are degraded and species are lost, the knowledge and cultural practices associated with them are also put at risk. An inability to gather food, practice traditional healing or connect with te taiao means that the language, knowledge and tikanga (customs and protocols) associated with these activities can be hard to access and at risk of being lost. The need to protect freshwater environments is leading to a revitalisation of some cultural monitoring practices.
Freshwater underpins drinking water supply, agriculture, industrial processes, hydropower generation and tourism. When water quality declines or becomes more variable, the economic costs can be substantial. These costs arise from higher treatment requirements, infrastructure failures, constraints on supply and production, and lost recreational or tourism opportunities. Climate change magnifies these pressures by altering water flows and affecting quality, and rising seas can increase flood risk and impact coastal groundwater supplies and infrastructure.
This section summarises the key areas where there is a need for better information, clearer visibility and more joined-up tools to support long-term freshwater stewardship. The themes reflect where evidence gaps currently limit understanding, where pressures are hard to detect and where better data or modelling would materially improve environmental reporting across Aotearoa New Zealand.
Many of the pressures affecting freshwater are not visible without targeted monitoring. Groundwater – despite supplying a large share of drinking water and sustaining rivers, wetlands and springs – remains the least understood part of the system. We also lack visibility of contaminant peaks that occur during storms or shortly after land-use changes (United Nations, 2022).
Several insights emerged, as outlined below.
A clearer view of these ‘invisible’ parts of the system would help New Zealand describe environmental change more accurately and understand linkages across rivers, lakes, wetlands and aquifers.
There are several high-value gaps where limited evidence constrains national reporting and understanding – particularly related to groundwater. These are not exhaustive but represent the areas most frequently highlighted across the sections of this report.
System-wide challenges exist in freshwater modelling, data access and consistency, concerns also raised by the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment (PCE, 2024, 2025), with the following key insights.
There are opportunities to improve coherence through standardisation of inputs and outputs, shared comparison metrics, and better coordination between local government, researchers, iwi and national agencies (Dost et al., 2026).
Tools such as OVERSEER® continue to support engagement and scenario exploration at farm scale, but catchment-scale modelling would benefit from more consistent foundations (PCE, 2024; Wheeler et al., 2006).
Monitoring programmes are essential for understanding how freshwater is changing. Across this report, several priorities emerged for strengthening national evidence.
One consistent theme in the report is that water availability and water quality pressures are shifting, driven by climate change, land use and coastal processes. The following key insights have emerged.
Describing these hydrological changes more systematically would improve how New Zealand interprets environmental trends and plans for future reporting.
Resilience depends on understanding the processes that produce, store and move water, not just on the volume available today. Changes in recharge, temperature, extreme rainfall, inland flooding, salinity intrusion and contaminant mobility all shape the security of future supplies and the health of freshwater ecosystems (Mourot et al., 2025; University of Auckland, n.d.).
Groundwater provides delayed but essential signals of long-term pressure. Reductions in aquifer levels, rising nitrate, and emerging contaminants can take years to affect connected waters at the surface. Making these pressures visible is critical for environment reporting and for maintaining the resilience of communities, water infrastructure and ecosystems (Madani, 2026).
Listed below are the environmental indicators incorporated in this report, including 12 indicators updated since the release of Our freshwater 2023 shown in bold.
This report was compiled by the Ministry for the Environment and Stats NZ’s Environmental Reporting team.
We would like to thank the following for providing data and advice in the development of indicators used in this report:
We would like to thank the following people and organisations for providing advice and helping to shape this report:
We would like to thank the following people and organisations for providing advice and critical review of this report:
The infographic (page 11) was created by Dumpark Information Design.
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